![]() ![]() Weather (Weather) - This is a combination of all elements displayed as a weather iconĬonfidence (Forecast Confidence) - This is the forecast confidence for this timestep based on ensemble model output Storm% (Storm Probability) - This is the risk of thunderstorms in this area based on a mixture of variables. If no rain is forecast but the RainRisk is above 0 then it means that the deterministic forecast is not expecting rain, but ensembles are still showing a risk. If rain is forecast then it will show you the percentage confidence in this. Rain% (Rain Probability) - This is the forecast probability of rain. The description of the other variables shown above are as follows :. In general, this risk tends to be lower the further out the forecast is as some ensembles may predict rain, whilst the number tends to be higher and correlate better with the forecast rainfall amount closer to the current time. This can sometimes be different to the actual forecast which may appear confusing. The RainRisk and SnowRisk columns show the ensemble risk for rain within this period. ![]() Less bars means that the forecast is likely to change in the next model run. 100% confidence (or 4 bars) means that there is good ensemble agreement for the forecasted temperature and rainfall. The confidence bar shows how likely the forecast is to be correct based on ensemble output. ![]() Partly Cloudy - Cloudy - Chance Of Rain - Rain Likely - Snow Likely ![]()
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